Nadal vs Medvedev Predictions, Odds & Live Stream (2022 Australian Open Final)

Rafael Nadal and Daniil Medvedev will play the first Grand Slam final of 2022 in the early hours of Sunday 30th January. Who will win the Australian Open? This article contains our Nadal vs Medvedev predictions, with expert predictions, best bets, enhanced odds and exclusive free bets.

When is Nadal vs Medvedev? 

Nadal vs Medvedev will be played on Melbourne Park’s main showcourt, the Rod Laver Arena, on Sunday 30th January.

The match will take place from around 8:30am in the UK.

The showpiece event will be shown live on Eurosport 1 (Sky channel 410, BT 435, Virgin 521).

Eurosport and Sky subscribers can watch the match via the Eurosport Player or SkyGo apps. Discovery+ can also stream the action live via the app.

Alternatively, you can watch the final live via Bet365 streaming service!

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Rafa Nadal vs Daniil Medvedev betting preview  

Rafa Nadal beat Matteo Berrettini in four sets (6-3 6-2 3-6 6-3) on Friday's semi-final, meaning he has lost only two sets so far the Australian Open. He’s been playing top tennis since coming to Australia. In fact, he started the year by winning the ATP Melbourne, beating each of his opponents in straight sets. Nadal, Djokovic and Roger Federer all are tied for the lead in Grand Slams on the men’s side with 20 each and the Spaniard has now the chance to take the lead. However, only one of Nadal’s 20 Grand Slam titles has come in Australia - and that was in 2009 - and his four subsequent finals down under have all resulted in defeat.

A win for Nadal in this match is backable at 13/8 with BetVictor.

Rafa Nadal's route to final

• Semi-final: 6-3 6-2 3-6 6-3 vs. Matteo Berrettini
• Quarter-final: 6-3 6-4 4-6 3-6 6-3 vs. Denis Shapovalov
• Fourth round: 7-6[14] 6-2 6-2 vs. Adrian Mannarino
• Third round: 6-3 6-2 3-6 6-1 vs. Karen Khachanov
• Second round: 6-2 6-3 6-4 vs. Yannick Hanfmann
• First round: 6-1 6-4 6-2 vs. Marcos Giron

Daniil Medvedev survived a few tough matches in a row, coming back from two setsdown against Felix Auger-Aliassime and playing a 4-sets war with Stefanos Tsitsipas ( 7-6(5), 4-6, 6-4, 6-1) in the semifinals on Friday. Prior to that, he had to outlast two of the game's biggest servers in countryman Nick Kyrgios and Max Cressy. Medvedev has now made back-to-back Australian Open finals and each of the last three major finals on hard court. The Russian denied Novak Djokovic a record-breaking 21st Grand Slam title when claiming US Open glory in September. Will he do the same against Nadal?

Best odds on Medvedev to win? 11/20 with STS.

Daniil Medvedev's route to final

• Semi-final: 7-6[5] 4-6 6-4 6-1 vs. Stefanos Tsitsipas
• Quarter-final: [4]6-7 3-6 7-6[2] 7-5 6-4 vs. Felix Auger-Aliassime
• Fourth round: 6-2 7-6[4] [4]6-7 7-5 vs. Maxime Cressy
• Third round: 6-4 6-4 6-2 vs. Botic van de Zandschulp
• Second round: 7-6[1] 6-4 4-6 6-2 vs. Nick Kyrgios
• First round: 6-1 6-4 7-6[3] vs. Henri Laaksonen

Head To Head

Nadal owns a 3-1 head-to-head record against Medvedev. However, Medvedev did win their most recent encounter – a 3-6, 7-6 (7-4), 6-3 victory at the ATP Finals in 2020. As to Grand Slam finals, Nadal won his 18th and last hard court major at the 2019 US Open, beating Medvedev in a five-set thriller (7-5, 6-3, 5-7, 4-6, 6-4).

Rafa Nadal vs Daniil Medvedev predictions 

Daniil Medvedev is arguably the best hard-court player on the ATP Tour at present and became the tournament favorite after Novak Djokovic was removed from the draw. Nadal will look to control his baseline and be aggressive with his heavy forehand to prevent Medvedev from drawing out rallies. So, this year’s showpiece match on Rod Laver Arena is unlikely to be a one-sided affair.

If the Spaniard gets off to an excellent start, he will be hard to defeat. If it goes to five sets, Medvedev could have an edge over Nadal. Experience is on the Spaniard's side, as Medvedev sometimes can't handle his nerves.

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Nadal vs Medvedev Live Stream