Super Bowl Predictions: 22/1 Bet Builder on 49ers vs Chiefs
- Written by David Bet
After 272 regular season games and 12 more in the playoffs we’re down to one as the San Francisco 49ers and the Kansas City Chiefs will face off in the Super Bowl LVIII in Las Vegas. It will be heavyweight clash between two of the best quarterbacks of the league - Patrick Mahomes and Brock Purdy. Will the Chiefs win back to back Super Bowls? Or will the 49ers avenge their Super Bowl 54 defeat? Who wins this year's Super Bowl matchup? Who will be the Super Bowl MVP? Who will be the best quarterback? This post contains our 49ers vs Chiefs predictions with bet builder tips on the Super Bowl 2024, key stats, team news, latest odds, bookmakers offers and free bets on the Big Game!
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When is the Super Bowl LVII?
The 2024 Super Bowl kicks off Sunday, Feb. 11, at the Allegiant Stadium in Las Vegas, Nevada.
It marks the first time the NFL's biggest game will take place at the 65,000-capacity stadium, which is home to the Las Vegas Raiders.
The big game is set to kick off at 4:30pm local time, which is 11:30pm in the UK. It is expected to finish in the early hours of Monday 12 February in the UK.
What are the lines for 49ers vs. Chiefs?
The Super Bowl 58 point spread opening odds saw the 49ers as -1.5 favorites. The latest NFL odds have San Francisco favored by two.
As to moneyline, the top UK online betting sites have listed the 49ers as the 4/5 betting favorites with Boylesports to win Super Bowl 58. And that means Patrick Mahomes' Kansas City Chiefs are the 11/10 underdogs with Bet365 to win Super Bowl 2024.
Super Bowl 2024 Best Odds
Super Bowl Preview: The Two Teams
Kansas City Chiefs
Kansas City's 11-6 regular-season record was lackluster by their lofty standards
Despite those six regular season losses - including their opener against the Detroit Lions - the Chiefs won the AFC West.
Then Andy Reid's men have come through the Wild Card Playoffs, beating Miami Dolphins by 19 points and Buffalo Bills in the Divisional Round by 3 points to reach the AFC Championship game.
Here, Travis Kelce and Patrick Mahomes were at magnificent best, and so was Kansas City's defence, in their 17-10 victory over the Baltimore Ravens in the AFC Championship game on Sunday.
San Francisco 49ers
The San Francisco 49ers finished the regular season with a 12-5 record.
The Niners, who are chasing a first Super Bowl since 1995, booked their place in Vegas with engineering dramatic comebacks in playoff games. They enter the Super Bowl LVIII on the back of a stunning victory from 17 points down against the Detroit Lions (34-31).
Prior to that, the 49ers booked their place in the NFC Championship game by beating Green Bay Packers 24-21 in the Divisional Playoffs.
San Francisco's defense looked shakier and they easily could have lost to both the Packers and Lions. After all, they didn't spend much time in the lead in the two games combined..
The Super Bowl Quarterbacks: Patrick Mahomes vs Brock Purdy
Patrick Mahomes
It’s a fourth appearance in the last five Super Bowls for Mahomes and the three-time winning Chiefs. Winning a third Super Bowl in five year would be a remarkable feat.
This season has been the worst one of Patrick Mahomes’ career across most metrics. He posted the most interceptions (14), lowest passer rating (92.6), and most losses (6) in his career.
Despite that, he opened with the shortest odds to win Super Bowl MVP honors.
Mahomes' top target is Travis Kelce -popular for his dating of Taylor Swift - who has recorded three touchdown receptions in the postseason so far.
Brock Purdy
Brock Purdy had his first full season as the starting quarterback. "Mr Irrelevant" threw for over 4,200 yards, and 31 touchdowns on the season. Purdy ended with 11 interceptions, with four of them coming on Christmas Day to the Ravens.
While the former Iowa State signal caller put together an incredible regular season, has been inconsistent during the playoffs. He has generated a 59.0 passing grade across two games, due in part to some careless throws, and a 3.8% turnover-worthy play rate.
Weapons at Purdy’s disposal include a devastating WR duo in Brandon Aiyuk and Deebo Samuel, and the best running back in the league in Christian McCaffrey.
Offense vs Defense
Entering Super Bowl 58, the 49ers’ defense ranks third in the NFL, with an average of 18.4 points per game. Anyway, San Francisco was known for their offense all season, as they averaged 29 points per game. The 49ers ran the football for 133 yards per game, and passed for 251.5.
Christian McCaffrey is the #1 offensive option, as he rushed for nearly 1,500 yards and 14 touchdowns.
The Chiefs’ offense isn’t as explosive as they’ve seen in the past. It has been the Kansas City's defense that has elevated them back to Super Bowl contenders, and their defensive ability was on full display in the game against Baltimore.
The Chiefs defense allowed just 13.7 points per game, which was the second best in all of the league. Then, it has allowed 7 points and 4.5 yards per play versus Miami, 4.7 YPP at Buffalo and 10 points at Baltimore and likely MVP Lamar Jackson.
Key Injuries
Christian McCaffrey suffered an injury in the Conference Championship final game, right before the deciding touchdown with three minutes to go. Should he miss out, his absence could swing the line several points in KC's favor.
Anyway, Niners coach Kyle Shanahan remain confident McCaffrey will be fit to play the Big Game.
Elsewhere, Chiefs star DE Charles Omenihu will be out with a torn ACL while linebacker Willie Gay Jr. and WR Skyy Moore are major doubts.
As for the 49ers, Clelin Ferrell and Talanao Hufanga are sidelined while LT Trent Williams, TE George Kittle and DE Arik Armstead are expected to recover in time..
Super Bowl Predictions: Who will win the Vincent Lombardi Trophy?
These two teams met at Super Bowl LIV. That night, the Chiefs triumphed 31-20 after a memorable fourth-quarter comeback.But this 49ers look a much improved team. Brock Purdy is a serious upgrade compared to Jimmy Garoppolo and the quarter-back has plenty of offensive options if he decides to pass or run the ball.
How do you contain Christian McCaffrey, Deebo Samuel, Brandon Aiyuk and George Kittle all at once?
Plus, caoch Kyle Shanahan has shown he can make the right adjustments during the game, so we back San Francisco 49ers to win the Super Bowl LVIII.
Touchdown Scorers
Deebo Samuel is worth a bet because not only is he a dynamic wide receiver, but he has over 1000 career rushing yards as well as 19 rushing touchdowns — including five this year.
Kansas City Chiefs tight end Travis Kelce is the obvious pick if you look at the other team, with Isaiah Pacheco a viable alternative.
Total Points
The Chiefs and 49ers rank second and third in the NFL in opponent points per game. Steve Spagnuolo's defense allow just 16.8 while the Niners give up just 18.4, which is a combined points allowed per games of 35.2.
That is 12 points fewer than the total points line..
Super Bowl MVP
In the Super Bowl’s history, 32 of the previous 57 MVPs have been quarterbacks. Since we backed San Francisco 49ers to win the Super Bowl 2024, we go for Brock Purdy to be crowned as the Super Bowl MVP.
Alternatively, Patrick Mahomes and Travis Kelce are favorites if Kansas City Chiefs beat the 49ers, while Christian McCaffrey - who was ultra-consistent in the play-offs with 128 yards and 132 yards along with two TDs in each game - could win if the 49ers’ running game has a big day.
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Frequently Asked Questions
How to watch the Super Bowl 2024?
Super Bowl LVIII will be televised live in the UK on ITV and on the Sky Sports network. You can live stream the game via ITVX, or alternatively subscribe to NOW TV or NFL Game Pass.
The BBC had previously held the rights to the game and NFL highlights since 2015..
Who will be playing in Super Bowl 58?
As always, the big game is between the AFC and NFC champions - with the winners of Super Bowl being crowned NFL champions. Hence, this year Super Bowl LVI will be played between AFC champions Kansas City Chiefs and NFC champions San Francisco 49ers.
Who will perform during the Super Bowl half-time show?
The famous half-time show will be headlined by pop superstar and eight-time Grammy winner Usher. The popular singer is arguably one of the most iconic names in the music industry and will be aiming to put on a real show for the fans. Rihanna did the honours in Glendale 12 months ago.
Which stadium will be play host to the Super Bowl 2024?
The 65,000-capacity Allegiant Stadium in Paradise, Nevada. This stadium is home to the Las Vegas Raiders and boasts of being the second youngest NFL stadium. Hence, there is no home field advantage for the two Super Bowl 58 contenders.
it will be the first time Las Vegas will host the Super Bowl.
What happened at last year's Super Bowl?
The last Super Bowl saw a lot of drama unfold. The Chiefs won the Super Bowl last year, narrowly defeating the Philadelphia Eagles 38-35. Patrick Mahomes was named Super Bowl MVP.
Kansas City are aiming to become just the eighth back-to-back winners and the first since the New England Patriots in 2004-2005.
How long is the Super Bowl?
It depends, but the Super Bowl typically lasts four hours. Including adverts, the game itself runs for around three and a half hours, while the famous halftime show is 30 minutes long.